Is a willingness to negotiate a sign of weakness? That seems to be the thrust of the critique of Thomas Frank, the latest prominent leftist critic of the Obama administration. Frank charges that Obama gave away too much to the right, because he stressed the importance of bi-partisanship, when he should have been fighting harder on substantive issues, such as punishing Wall Street bankers, or achieving more economic stimulus. Frank seems to think because the president placed the ideal of bi-partisanship above these other policy goals, he was forced to concede too much to the opposition.
One point Frank seems correct about is that the opposition has become more intransigent than
ever. Did they become more
intransigent because candidate and then President Obama announced in
advance that he wants to be a conciliator, or would they have been equally if not more
intransigent if the president had announced that he was going to fight
them tooth and nail every step of the way? My guess is the latter, but
it's still a valid question to ask how best to deal with an intransigent
adversary. Should you continue acting as a conciliator, or should you
adopt a more aggressive approach yourself?
My experience in litigation and negotiation tells me that it is never a sign of
weakness to let the other side know in advance that you are interested
in reaching a cooperative resolution of a dispute. It is a sign of
strength. In fact it seems absurd to me to suggest that telling the other side you want to make a deal makes you a bad negotiator. More likely, the party who is unwilling to negotiate is a bad negotiator. That person is probably not going to be able to make a deal at all! On the other hand, if you have available some other more effective means of making the other side do what you want without negotiation, such as by declaring war on them or taking them to court, then you might be giving up some of your strength by renouncing those alternatives. But if you have decided that those means are too risky and costly, or you have already entered into a process of give and take, such as is usually required in Congress, then it is hard to see how a belief in the value of bi-partisan agreement can make you a bad negotiator. That's especially true if you are trying to achieve results that the general public is going to accept. For every Thomas Frank, who is going to complain that the Democrats gave away too much, there are going to be critics on the right who complain that the Democrats rammed through a leftist agenda without adequate consideration of opposing views. And their views count also.
The time you are showing some weakness as a negotiator is when you
let the other side know that you have no alternative to making a deal.
In other words, there is no harm in expressing a willingness to remain
at the bargaining table as long as it takes, but there might be some
cost if your side is unwilling ever to walk from the table if you can't
obtain a deal that is acceptable. During Obama's first term, the
weaknesses in the Democratic side's bargaining power did not come from
the Democratic side's expressions of willingness to make a deal, or from their efforts to achieve bi-partisan agreement. They
came from the Democrats' inability to walk from the table. It is crucial
to understand this distinction. There were things the Obama
administration decided they HAD to achieve, and that they could only achieve with the votes of a few Blue Dogs or Republicans. On all of those items,
they made more compromises than their side wanted: the stimulus, health
care reform, raising the debt ceiling, introducing new financial
regulations. They made those compromises because the alternative would
probably have been no deal at all, and that was unacceptable to the
Obama team's side.
Notice that in the second half of the Obama administration's first term,
there have been fewer compromises, and that has made supporters like
Frank happier. (He also says he likes the feisty tone of the re-election
campaign.) But note also that basically nothing has gotten done during
this Congress, as compared with the first two years. That's because the
Obama administration worked hard to get as much of its agenda enacted as
possible during the first two years, and there now remain hardly any
issues on which the Democrats HAVE to make a deal. Once the debt ceiling
deal was in place, for example, the Democrats can take an
uncompromising stand on their view that tax increases must be part of
any deficit solution. They don't have to give anything on this point,
because if they don't, the Bush tax cuts automatically expire and
automatic spending cuts take effect that are much less to the
Republicans' liking than the Democrats. (In negotiation parlance, the Democrats have a pretty good BATNA.) So there should be more pressure
on Republicans to make a deal this fall. And that pressure exists
regardless of how much sabre-rattling the Republicans engage in now. In
fact, it appears to me that Republican bluster on the upcoming budget
negotiations is a sign of weakness, whereas Democratic expressions of
reasonableness and continued willingness to negotiate, are a sign of strength right now.
It's always easy to second guess the results of any negotiation. But it's much more difficult to show that a different approach could have gotten either side a better deal. And it just seems flat out wrong to suggest that someone is a bad negotiator because they believe strongly in the value of achieving a result by negotiated agreement. Especially in a democracy where all viewpoints are entitled to be included.
(photo from TPM)